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IRAN
SAYS IT WILL CLOSE THE PERSIAN GULF IF ATTACKED
THE US NAVY SAYS, OH! NO, YOU WON’T
Vice-
Admiral Kevin J. Cosgriff, former commander
of the US navy's Fifth Fleet, warned early this year
that the United States will not allow Iran to shut
the Strait of Hormuz, the Gulf sea lane through
which much of the world's oil is supplied. "They
will not close it... They will not be allowed to
close it," Cosgriff told a press conference in
Bahrain, where the fleet is based. His remarks
followed comments by the chief of Iran's elite
Revolutionary Guards, General Mohammad Ali Jafari,
who issued a warning on any attack against Iran’s
nuclear facilities. "It is natural that when a
country is attacked it uses all of its military
capabilities against the enemy, and definitely our
control of the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz
would be one of our actions," Jafari said.
Yesterday, the Chief of Staff of Iran's Armed
Forces, Major General Hassan Firouzabadi , repeated
that the Islamic Republic will not allow anyone to
pass through the waterway if its regional interests
are in jeopardy," he added. Previously, Cosgriff had
emphasized that the international community would
work together to protect navigation in the Strait of
Hormuz, adding that any action by Iran "will not be
an action against the United States but against the
international community". The new commander of the
5th Fleet is
Vice-Admiral William Gortney
who
replaced Vice-Admiral Cosgiff on July 5th.
Iran's naval strategists believe the U.S. will attempt to
land ground forces to the East Bandar Abbas. Iran’s
plans call for extensive use of ground-launched
tactical missiles, coastal artillery, as swell as
strategic missiles already aimed at Saudi Arabia and
Israel tipped with chemical, biological and possibly
nuclear warheads. The Iranians also plan to lay huge
minefields across the Persian Gulf inside the Strait
of Hormuz, effectively trapping ships that manage to
cross the Strait and destroying them with their
coastal artillery and China-made land-based
"Silkworm" missile batteries. The Hormuz Strait
between Iran and Oman is a vital conduit for energy
supplies, with as much as 40 percent of the world's
crude passing through the waterway. Twenty-five
million barrels of oil pass through the strait every
day - the equivalent of about $3 billion dollars,
roughly 20 percent of the world's daily oil
production. "Certainly if there is fighting, the
scope will be extended to oil, meaning its price
will increase dramatically … We think that this will
deter our enemies from taking action against Iran,"
Jafari said.
Today, Iran has sophisticated EM-53 bottom-tethered
mines, which it purchased from China in the 1990s.
The EM-53s represent a serious threat to major U.S.
surface vessels, since their rocket-propelled
charges are capable of hitting the hull of their
targets at speed in excess of 70 miles per hour.
Some analysts believe the mines can knock out an
aircraft carrier. The Joint Chiefs of Staff has been
warned about Iran's growing naval buildup in the
Persian Gulf for over a decade. In a draft
presidential finding submitted to President Clinton
in late February 1995, it is concluded that Iran has
the capability to close the Strait of Hormuz. A
former head of Israel's Mossad foreign intelligence
agency, Shabtai Shavit, said recently that the
Jewish state had one year to destroy Iran's nuclear
program or face the risk of coming under nuclear
attack.
On July 9, 2008, Iran test-fired nine long- and
medium-range missiles during war games that
officials said aimed to show the country can
retaliate against any U.S. and Israeli attack. Gen. Hossein Salami, the air force commander of Iran's
elite Revolutionary Guards, said the exercise would
"demonstrate our resolve and might against enemies
who in recent weeks have threatened Iran with harsh
language."
And on the 10th, he added:
"We want to tell the world that those threatening us
with
military exercises and psychological warfare
that our finger is always on the trigger and
we have hundreds and even thousands of missiles
ready to be fired against predetermined targets."
At least three of the missiles fired were a new version of the Shahab-3 missile,
which have a range of 1,250 miles (2,000 kilometers).
The Shahab-3 can easily reach Israel, Saudi Arabia,
Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Turkey.
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